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How Effective are Greenhouse Gas Emission Policies in Canada and the World?

A graphical analysis of the effect of environmental policies on the provinces and sectors within Canada, along with the difference in emission reduction between Annex I and Non-Annex I countries. 

Abstract

Greenhouse gas emissions stand as the primary catalyst for global climate change. Many individuals (including scientific professionals) are critical of the efforts to reduce emissions. In Canada, there are debates regarding the efficacy of international and national emission reduction initiatives. This study conducts an analysis of greenhouse gas emission policies in Canada, employing a comparative approach to assess emission rates before and after legislative interventions. Additionally, we examine external factors such as population and gross domestic product (GDP) that may influence emission rates. This study also investigates the impact of the Kyoto Protocol on global emission trends, by comparing emissions of countries with different commitment levels and Annex classifications. 

In Canada, we found that sector-specific national policies were more successful in reducing emissions than general national strategies or international policies, though none of the initiatives reached their targets. Using survey data for emissions, population, and gross domestic product (GDP) from the last 30 years, we visualized trends in these factors. We identified economic crashes (signified by GDP drops) that are correlated with certain drops in emission rates. 

To observe the implications of Kyoto on global trends, we compared emissions per capita between signatory and non-signatory Annex I and Non-Annex countries, finding that legal commitment did not determine emissions reduction. Globally, emissions continue to increase, and show no response to international climate agreements.

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